2026 Andy’s Frozen Custard 400 DFS Picks: Texas Motor Speedway Data

The Texas Motor Speedway Blueprint

Texas Motor Speedway is a high-speed, 1.5-mile intermediate track featuring a repaved surface and highly asymmetrical corner banking. In the O'Reilly Auto Parts Series, aerodynamic dependency and clean air place a massive premium on track position.

Winning GPP tournament lineups at Texas require a dominator-heavy approach. Relying purely on place differential is mathematically suboptimal when laps led and fastest lap points dictate the top of the leaderboard. To build a ceiling lineup for the Andy’s Frozen Custard 400, you must target drivers who specifically excel on this unique layout.

The Course Delta: O'Reilly Series Track Edge

Identifying drivers who over-perform on Texas Motor Speedway's geometry is critical for isolating value. The Track Edge metric in the FASTLAP Track Stats database directly compares a driver's specific rating at Texas against their standard career baseline.

When looking at the data for this weekend's field, five drivers present a distinct mathematical advantage.

Top Track Edge Performers: Texas Motor Speedway

1. Justin Allgaier: 5.1 Avg Run | 134.5 Rating | Track Edge: +28.8
2. Ryan Sieg: 10.3 Avg Run | 99.3 Rating | Track Edge: +25.2
3. Brandon Jones: 7.5 Avg Run | 101.0 Rating | Track Edge: +16.6
4. Harrison Burton: 12.1 Avg Run | 87.5 Rating | Track Edge: +14.0
5. Austin Hill: 5.9 Avg Run | 109.6 Rating | Track Edge: +13.1

Despite his underwhelming finish last year, Justin Allgaier is the undisputed slate-breaker. A 134.5 Texas rating is elite, and pairing that with a 5.1 average running position makes him the primary dominator target on the board. Austin Hill profiles similarly as a high-floor, high-ceiling option, maintaining a 5.9 average running position while carrying a strong +13.1 edge over his baseline. Hill has struggled this year, but Texas might represent a strong opportunity to turn it around.

For salary tournament leverage, Ryan Sieg is the standout value. His +25.2 Track Edge delta proves he drastically outperforms his equipment at Texas, providing a strong ceiling relative to his DraftKings salary. Brandon Jones also flashes as a highly efficient mid-tier target, generating a 7.5 average running position and a triple-digit driver rating.

The Pit Road Variable

Texas Motor Speedway features a highly penalizing pit road. A single mistake during a green-flag cycle destroys track position and immediately eliminates dominator potential in clean air.

Before finalizing your O'Reilly Series lineups, verify your drivers' pit crew efficiencies. Utilize the data at the Fastlap Pitstops Hub to ensure your dominator targets are supported by top-tier over-the-wall crews.

FASTLAP Simulator: Open Beta LIVE

The fastlap.io will be in Open Beta for the Andy’s Frozen Custard 400.

The algorithm processes thousands of race outcomes using our loop data, track edge ratings, and pit road metrics to output the most likely range of outcomes.

• Filter the driver pool by ceiling projections, baseline floors, and optimal probabilities.
• Identify the exact drivers breaking the pricing algorithm.

Access the engine directly at fastlap.io/simulator to generate mathematically optimized lineups for Texas Motor Speedway.