DQS Solutions & Staffing 250 Preview: Truck Series DFS Picks & Odds at Michigan

NASCAR's Truck Series rolls into the Irish Hills for the DQS Solutions & Staffing 250 on Saturday, June 6 at 1:30 PM ET, a high-speed run around Michigan International Speedway's 2-mile oval. Practice opens Saturday at 9:30 AM ET with qualifying at 10:35 AM ET…a tight, single-day turnaround that puts a premium on unloading fast.

Our 10,000-iteration race simulator chewed through the full field using Michigan-specific history, intermediate-track form, Goodyear tire-compound data, and pit-crew speed. Make sure to come back on Saturday for the updated numbers.

The track: Michigan in a Truck

Michigan is a 2-mile, D-shaped asphalt oval banked at 18° in the turns and one of the fastest tracks on the entire NASCAR calendar. The worn, multi-groove surface rewards two things above all else: long-run tire management and raw horsepower down the long straights. Trucks fan out three- and four-wide on the wide racing surface, and the driver who can keep his right-side tires alive over a green-flag run is the who can overcome the aerodynamic game Michigan has become.

Trucks run the D-6110 left / D-6140 right Goodyear compound at Michigan.

See the full Michigan Truck Series historical track stats → https://fastlap.io/trucks/track-stats

The favorites the model loves

Corey Heim, $11,000 — 32.5% Win, 63.9 Mean DK

This is as close to a lock as the Truck Series produces. Heim is No. 1 in our composite power rankings, No. 1 on intermediate tracks, No. 1 on the D-6110 left-side compound, and No. 2 in Michigan average running position — a clean sweep of the most predictive signals at this track. Our sim hands him a 32.5% chance to win and a field-best 63.9 mean DK, with a 74.4% Top-5 and 87.7% Top-10 floor that no one else can touch.

The board has him at +275 (26.7% implied) — our model is even higher at 32.5%, meaning the favorite might actually be actually undervalued. He's also the No. 1 DFS Optimal play at a staggering 51.8%, appearing in more than half of optimal $50K lineups. Pay up, build around him, and don't overthink it.

Run your own DQS 250 simulation → https://fastlap.io/trucks/simulator

Carson Hocevar, $9,700 — 18.9% Win, 55.9 Mean DK

A Michigan native and the model's clear No. 2. Hocevar is No. 1 in Michigan average running position and No. 1 in Michigan dominance (laps led + fast laps) — nobody in this field has run better laps at this specific track. Our sim gives him an 18.9% win share and the slate's highest Top-10 probability at 88.4%, plus a 72.4% Top-5.

At +600 (14.3% implied), the model's 18.9% is a clean +4.6% edge over the board.

Christopher Bell, $9,500 — 7.6% Win, 54.6 Mean DK

The Cup ringer with elite intermediate pedigree. Bell ranks No. 3 on intermediate tracks and No. 4 on the left-side compound, and his 54.6 mean DK is third-best in the field. A 50.6% Top-5 and 81.0% Top-10 make him one of the safest floors on the board, and his 38.9% Optimal rate says the model expects him in winning lineups across a wide range of outcomes. A premium cash-game piece.

Get the full Truck Series power rankings → https://fastlap.io/trucks/preview

Three values the model is buying

The plays where our simulator's projection sits well above the salary — and in some cases, above the board.

Grant Enfinger, $8,200 — 45.1% Optimal, 45.7 Mean DK

The single best value on the slate. Enfinger comes off the board in 45.1% of optimal lineups — the second-highest rate of any driver — yet he's priced at just $8,200. His 45.7 mean DK is fourth-best in the entire field, he's No. 5 on intermediates, and he ranks No. 3 in Michigan dominance. With a 30.3% Top-5 and 65.3% Top-10, he gives you near-elite production at a mid-tier price.

Christian Eckes, $8,700 — 10.3% Win, +3.6% model edge

The model's favorite outright-value story. Eckes is No. 2 on intermediate tracks and No. 3 on the left-side compound, and our sim gives him a 10.3% chance to win versus the board's 6.7% implied — a +3.6% edge, the largest among the mid-priced trucks. Back that up with a 42.2% Top-5 and 68.3% Top-10.

Stewart Friesen, $7,200 — 37.8% Optimal, 54.0% Top-10

A proven Michigan runner hiding in the value tier. Friesen lands in 37.8% of optimal lineups at just $7,200 and projects for a 54.0% Top-10 — outrunning several drivers priced $1,000+ above him. He ranks No. 10 on intermediates and No. 13 on the tire combo, the kind of quiet, fundamentals-driven profile our model rewards and the betting market overlooks.

Compare any two of these drivers head-to-head → https://fastlap.io/trucks/head-to-head

Where the model sees the biggest edges

Pulling it together, these are the plays where our 10,000-iteration sim has the largest Win % advantage over the board's implied probability — every one a driver to back, not fade:

• Corey Heim, model 32.5% vs. market 26.7% implied (+5.8% edge). The rare case where the heavy favorite is still the value.
• Carson Hocevar, model 18.9% vs. market 14.3% implied (+4.6% edge).
• Christian Eckes, model 10.3% vs. market 6.7% implied (+3.6% edge). The standout price among the mid-tier.

For pure DFS leverage, the cheapest high-Optimal plays — Grant Enfinger (45.1% at $8,200), Stewart Friesen (37.8% at $7,200), and Corey LaJoie (37.0% at $6,900) — are the salary-relief pieces that let you load up on Heim and Hocevar at the top.

See the full odds + edge board across all three series → https://fastlap.io/odds

How to use FASTLAP this race week

Run your own 10K sim with custom boosts, equipment handicaps, and dominator picks. Toggle drivers in and out of the field and override the starting grid.

Browse the Truck Series power rankings — full Michigan, intermediate, tire-combo, and pit-crew sub-ranks for every driver in the field.

Build the optimal lineup with the Grid Predictor and stress-test your DFS roster before lock.

Check the free Odds Board — every priced driver across Cup, O'Reilly, and Trucks with book odds, de-vigged fair %, and DK salary side by side.

Read the weekly Race Brief — our LLM-assisted setup, favorites, leverage, and DFS notes, refreshed each race week.

Subscribe to FASTLAP Pro to unlock the full simulator, Race Brief, Grid Predictor, and head-to-head matchups across all three national series.